ParDeeB: A graph framework for load forecasting based on parallel DeepNet branches

Document Type : Article

Authors

1 Department of Industrial Engineering, Meybod University, Yahyazadeh Blvd., Khorramshahr Blvd., Meybod, Yazd, Iran

2 Department of Computer Engineering, Meybod University, Yahyazadeh Blvd., Khorramshahr Blvd., Meybod, Yazd, Iran

3 Department of Industrial Engineering , Sharif University of Technology, Azadi Ave, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

Recently, energy demand forecasting has emerged as a signi cant area of research
because of its prominent impact on greenhouse gases (GHGs) emission
and global warming.The problems of load forecasting are characterized by complex
and nonlinear nature and also long-term historical dependency. Up to now,
several approaches from statistical to computational intelligent have been applied
in this research led. The literature agrees with the fact that deep learning
approach is more capable in dealing with these characteristics among existing
approaches. However, the recent state-of-the-art deep network models are not
robust against di erent historical dependency. In this study, we propose a graph
framework based on parallel DeepNet branches to tackle this challenge. This
framework consists of multi parallel branches in which di erent kind of networks
can be incorporated. The parallel recurrent branches represent the historical dependency
of determinants individually and this leads to better performance in
case of di erent historical dependency in data. In this case study, the performance
of the proposed model is examined through a comparison study with
the state-of-the-art deep network models. The comparison resulted in that the
proposed framework can improve the load forecasting by a signi cant margin
on average.

Keywords

References

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Scientia Iranica
Volume 30, Issue 2
Transactions on Industrial Engineering (E)
March and April 2023
Pages 803-813

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